E-Volution – «Let’s take a look, then we’ll see»

Hardly any other industry has been overrun by so many changes at the same time in recent years as the automotive sector. But how is the future of the mobility sector developing from the customer’s perspective? Is the mobility ecosystem facing a fragmented future?

At a glance
  • Customers do not expect fully automated vehicles before early 2030
  • E-volution will continue to transform the automotive industry in the future, with demand for shared mobility declining and seamless mobility remaining relevant
  • Demand for smart, intelligent, interactive and individual mobility is increasing, presenting OEMs with growing challenges in the area of software development
  • Customers’ purchasing decisions depend on safety, available technology, in-country infrastructure, vehicle pool and investment requirements
-Evolution: Will diesel and petrol engines be a thing of the past even after the pandemic or not so fast after all? And what about hybrid drives? According to forecasts, the future already belongs to the electric motor, a sustainably clean and innovative form of mobility. Densely populated cities in particular are continuously imposing strict regulations and thus promoting the “clean” trend.

While the connectivity, automation and electrification clusters continue to form the main pillars of e-volution and will continue to grow strongly in the future, sharing concepts are experiencing a slowdown, according to experts. This is being replaced by dynamic and smart solutions, the involvement of the individual in the co-design of the future automobile and a sustainable orientation of the company.
Source: Panoff Consulting Automotive Retail Services

Politics remains an important shaper of the e-evolution. Here, too, the landscape is fragmented. While market penetration in Europe and the USA is forecast to be well over 85%, China is at 44%. Nevertheless, Europe and China are considered to be the main drivers of e-mobility, whereas demand in the USA is significantly lower.

This is attributed to government initiatives. In Europe and China, both the development and purchase of electric vehicles is supported by various government subsidies, resulting in a lower TCO (total cost of ownership) for individuals.

Nevertheless, the e-evolution will change the mobility ecosystem, albeit at a slower pace than initially assumed. The ever-increasing demand for intelligent, smart and automated mobility that enables holistic connectivity and ensures safety poses major challenges for car manufacturers worldwide in the area of software development. In the area of connectivity, experts expect a market penetration of over 50% after 2025 with a continuing upward trend and the forecast to penetrate the entire market in the future.
Source: Panoff Consulting Automotive Retail Services

If we have aroused your interest and you are not yet familiar with our study, please download it here or contact us directly for more information.

Julian Boguschewski

Manager Automotive Retail Services

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